Fiorentina will play a crucial home game, for their European ambitions, against Lazio on this Sunday. They are fourth in the league, six points behind the third-placed Napoli. They will have to finish at least third to ensure a Champions League qualifying spot. They can afford nothing short of a win against Lazio.

Lazio’s problem is away games. The team have had a reasonably good home record in the season: seven wins and three draws from 12 games. But their away record – two wins and five draws from 13 games – has been dismal. The good thing is that both the away wins have come in 2014. Their recent form makes you question the current 10th position in the league. With four wins and just one defeat in the last eight games, Lazio is poised to spoil Fiorentina’s campaign for Champions League berth.

Some would say Fiorentina are doing more harm to themselves even otherwise. Their last five games have resulted in just one win. A good home record is a positive factor for them.

Fiorentina-Lazio H2H statistics

The H2H record between the teams does not reflect the current strengths and weaknesses of the teams. Lazio leads 20-10 in the last decades.

Fiorentina-Lazio Player news

The prime reason for Fiorentina’s recent poor showing is the injury to their talismanic striker Giuseppe Rossi. Their second striker Borja Valero will be back for the match after serving a suspension. Alberto Aquilani, Joaquín and Alessandro Matri will have to work hard to cover Rossi’s absence. Lazio has no injury worries. Antonio Candreva and Miroslav Klose will pair upfront.

Fiorentina-Lazio Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals 2.05 @ Bet365.com

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