Sweden runs into a super-confident Italy at Stadium Municipal in Toulousein their second Euro 2016 game. Italy won their opening fixture against Belgium, while Sweden could only manage a 1-1 draw against Republic of Ireland. A win would ensure Italy’s place in the quarterfinals. A loss or even a draw would jeopardise Sweden’s chances of progressing to the next round. They have a difficult fixture after this against Belgium. Bookmakers seem to have written them off already. Bet365 puts odds of a Sweden win at 17/4.

Italy

Italy was solid and effortlessly dominant in the opening match against Belgium. The world number two-ranked Belgian side actually looked like minnows against Italy. The defence, manned by Giorgio Chiellini, Leonardo Bonucci and Andrea Barzagli, are as reliable as any Italian defence in history. Chiellini, it must be added, is one of the rare defenders respected by Swedish superstar Zlatan Ibrahimovic.

Italy does not lack in strike force either. Matteo Darmian, Graziano Pellè and Éder form a formidable attacking unit. In short, Italy has no apparent weaknesses. They do not allow the opponents to score, and they look capable of scoring even in the slightest of opportunities.

Sweden

Sweden was well below their best against Republic of Ireland. Had they won that match, they would have gone into this match with a better frame of mind. They need at least a point from this match. For that to happen, Ibrahimovic needs to do something special – something like a kung-fu volley from outside the penalty box, for Chiellini and company will not allow much space for him inside the penalty box.

Italy - Sweden match facts

• Sweden’s left back Mikael Lustig is injured and will sit out.
• Thiago Motta is likely to replace Daniele De Rossi in the Italian midfield.
• Italy has a superior head to head record against Sweden: 10-6 in 22 matches overall. Italy has won four of the last six games as well.

Italy - Sweden betting tips

Italy is the overwhelming favourite to win this match. A draw looks attractive at the odds of 11/5 with bet365.